Capital & Investment15 min read

Gulf investors in 2026: how to attract sovereign and family office capital

Gulf sovereign funds deployed record sums in 2026, yet most of it follows national priorities. Here is how a CFO positions a company to be considered.

KMBy Karter McKinley

Illuminated city skyline at dusk
Illuminated city skyline at dusk

Key Takeaways

  1. 01Gulf sovereign funds are the largest single block of state capital: the 'Gulf 7' spent US$119 billion in 2025, 43% of all sovereign deployment. The money is real, but it is selective.
  2. 02Capital follows national priorities. PIF invested more than US$199 billion in new Saudi projects from 2021 to 2025, so a company that fits a domestic ecosystem is considered before one that fits only a return target.
  3. 03Family offices behave differently from sovereign funds. In UBS's 2025 survey, 56% cite geopolitical instability and 51% cite legal uncertainty as barriers, so risk reduction matters more than growth.
  4. 04Competition is rising: investment inflows to West Asia reached nearly US$111 billion in 2025, and Saudi Arabia is targeting US$100 billion a year by 2030, so Gulf partners can be choosy.
  5. 05Treat the Gulf as a relationship that takes time to build. Start with a clear strategic-fit case, a local partner or presence, and a data room that answers the questions a Gulf investment committee asks.

The Karter McKinley perspective

Strategic fit decides who gets a second meetingKarter McKinley

Most European and American companies approach Gulf capital as if it were a larger version of a US growth fund. We think that is the wrong model. Gulf sovereign investors are institutions with a national mandate: diversify the economy, localise capability, and build long-term partnerships that bring technology, customers or know-how into the region. Return still matters, and PIF reports an annualised shareholder return of over 7 per cent since 2017, but it is the test applied after the strategic-fit test, not instead of it.

So our position is that CFOs should write the fit case before the financial case. Say plainly which national priority the business advances, what it will build locally, and what the investor gains beyond a multiple. A company that can answer those three questions will be taken seriously by a sovereign fund, a strategic arm or a family office. A company that cannot will be told, politely, to return when its numbers are stronger.

Gulf sovereign capital is now the marginal buyer in global deals

Sovereign wealth funds passed US$15 trillion in assets under management for the first time, according to Global SWF's 2026 annual report, and deal activity reached a historic maximum of US$278 billion across 562 investments in 2025. Within that, the Gulf is the centre of gravity. The report's 'Gulf 7' funds, comprising ADIA, ADQ, Mubadala, ICD, KIA, QIA and PIF, accounted for 43% of the capital spent, or US$119 billion.

Deloitte Middle East estimates that Gulf funds control about 40% of global sovereign wealth fund assets and include six of the ten largest funds worldwide. The same estimate puts the assets of Gulf Royal Private Offices at about US$500 billion, a category that sits between a sovereign fund and a family office and is often invisible in league tables. For a CFO, the practical point is that the Gulf is not one investor but a layered set of them with different mandates.

The pace has not slowed in 2026. Khaleej Times, citing Global SWF data, reported that Gulf sovereign funds committed US$53.9 billion across 108 deals in the first half of the year, and that Mena funds deployed US$102 billion across 245 transactions in the nine months to 30 September, 39% of all dealmaking by state-owned investors. Mubadala led with US$26.2 billion, ahead of PIF at US$14 billion and ADIA at US$12.2 billion.

The implication is that capital is available but the queue is long. Our advice is to know which fund you are talking to and why. Mubadala, PIF, ADIA and QIA have different sector focuses, ticket sizes and domestic obligations. Before any outreach, a CFO should map the five or six funds whose stated strategy overlaps with the business, and discard the rest. A targeted approach to six institutions will outperform a mass mailing to sixty.

Two cautions on reading these figures. First, annual totals are lumpy: one very large transaction can change a fund's ranking and the headline total in a period, so a single good year says little about a fund's appetite for your sector. Second, deployment mixes direct deals, co-investments and fund commitments. A CFO should ask what proportion of a fund's activity is in the form of investment they are seeking before drawing conclusions from the aggregate.

For a finance leader, the useful discipline is segmentation. Create a simple table of the target institutions, recording mandate, typical ticket size, preferred instruments, known domestic obligations and any existing relationship with your shareholders or lenders. Update it quarterly as public strategy statements and deal announcements change. This is a modest piece of work, but it converts a vague belief that Gulf money is available into a prioritised, testable list.

Most Gulf capital stays at home, so the first question is local relevance

PIF's 2026-2030 strategy shows how the largest Gulf fund thinks. Its assets under management grew from US$150 billion in 2015 to more than US$900 billion, and it invested more than US$199 billion in new projects in Saudi Arabia from 2021 to 2025. Together with its portfolio companies it spent more than US$157 billion with the local private sector between 2021 and 2024. Domestic deployment is not a side effect of the mandate; it is the mandate.

Khaleej Times, reporting Global SWF figures for the first nine months of 2025, noted that Mena sovereign funds had spent US$1.1 trillion historically, while Mena markets had received only a third of that capital from global sovereign investors. That asymmetry is the opening. Gulf funds want more international capital, technology and operators to come into the region, not only to send money out of it.

Exhibit 1

Mubadala led Mena funds' deployment in the first nine months of 2026

Capital deployed by selected Mena sovereign investors, January–September 2026, US$ billion

Mubadala$26.2bnPIF$14.0bnADIA$12.2bnL'imad$10.8bnQIA$10.3bn
Source: Khaleej Times citing Global SWF, Mena SWFs spend Dh374 billion, 2026

For a CFO, this reframes the pitch. A company seeking a Gulf cheque for growth in London or Frankfurt is competing with US and European opportunities that the same funds can access through their own teams. A company that proposes a regional hub, a local manufacturing or service operation, or a joint venture with a domestic partner is offering something the fund cannot easily source elsewhere. The strategic case becomes the differentiator.

What to do: before approaching a fund, write a one-page statement of what the business would build in the Gulf, how many jobs, which local partners, and what capability transfers. If the honest answer is nothing, then the target should be a fund's international portfolio team or a family office rather than a domestic-ecosystem programme, and the approach should be framed accordingly.

Local relevance is concrete, not rhetorical. PIF's strategy names six ecosystems it intends to develop: tourism, travel and entertainment; urban development and liveability; industrials and logistics; clean energy; water and renewables infrastructure; and NEOM. A company whose product, technology or operating model makes one of those ecosystems cheaper, faster or more capable has a natural entry point. A company that sits outside them needs a bridge, such as a supply relationship with a portfolio company or a commercial partnership.

The CFO should also expect questions about commercial terms that reflect this local-first logic: preferences for minority or joint-venture structures, local content commitments, technology transfer and training. These are negotiable, but they are rarely optional. It is better to propose a credible version yourself than to have an unfavourable version imposed late in diligence, when the company's negotiating position is weaker.

Saudi Arabia is turning regional presence into a condition of partnership

Saudi Arabia is the clearest example of policy shaping capital flows. UNCTAD data reported by Arab News show the Kingdom attracting US$33 billion of foreign direct investment in 2025, an increase of 51.14% on 2024, which lifted it to 13th place globally from 17th. AGBI reported that the Kingdom has set a target of attracting US$100 billion a year in foreign direct investment by 2030.

The regional headquarters programme is part of that push. AGBI reported that 571 companies had set up their main regional base in the Kingdom, exceeding the Vision 2030 target. PIF's strategy describes a Vision Portfolio that will develop six domestic ecosystems, and says it offers partners more opportunities to invest in high-quality assets alongside PIF. The signal to foreign companies is that presence and partnership are rewarded.

Exhibit 2

Investment into West Asia has grown by a quarter in two years

Investment inflows to West Asia (18 countries including the GCC), US$ billion

$86bn2023$92bn2024$111bn2025
Source: AGBI citing UNCTAD, Gulf FDI rose in 2025, 2026

The wider region shows the same pattern. AGBI, citing UNCTAD, reported that investment inflows to West Asia, an 18-country region that includes the six GCC members, grew from US$86 billion in 2023 to US$92 billion in 2024 and nearly US$111 billion in 2025. More capital arriving in the region means more companies asking Gulf partners for attention, and a lower tolerance for generic proposals.

The implication for a CFO is to treat regional presence as a design decision, not an afterthought. A small, credible local entity with real decision-making, supported by a local partner, changes how a fund views the company. We would plan this in parallel with the capital raise rather than after it, because the presence is part of what the investor is evaluating.

The commercial logic is also about risk allocation. A regional headquarters gives a fund a counterparty it can supervise, hold accountable and rely on for local hiring and procurement. It also reduces the political friction of investing abroad. For a CFO, the cost of establishing an entity is a known quantity, and it should be weighed against the strategic value of being treated as a partner rather than a supplier of capital goods or services.

It is worth noting what the programme does not do. A regional headquarters does not guarantee funding, and it does not replace the need for a strong business. What it does is establish that the company is serious about the market and willing to be held accountable there. Combined with a clear fit case, it moves the conversation from whether the investor should consider the company to what the partnership should look like.

Family offices want protection first and returns second

Family offices are a different audience. UBS's 2025 Global Family Office Report draws on 317 single family offices across more than 30 markets. Reporting on the findings, Economy Middle East said Middle East family offices split their portfolios 50/50 between traditional and alternative asset classes, with equities at 27 per cent and private equity at 25 per cent. Private equity is therefore a core holding rather than a satellite.

The barriers they cite to emerging-market investment are telling. According to the same report, 56 per cent cite geopolitical instability, 55 per cent highlight political uncertainty and sovereign risk, 51 per cent are concerned about legal uncertainty and regulatory frameworks, and 48 per cent worry about currency devaluation and inflation. None of these is about growth. All of them are about whether capital will be protected and recoverable.

Exhibit 3

Real assets absorb most Mena sovereign spending; technology takes one-eighth

Share of Mena SWF spending by industry, first nine months of 2025, %

Real estate and infrastructure40%Financials (incl. funds)22%Technology12%
Source: Khaleej Times citing Global SWF, 2025

This has a direct consequence for how a CFO should prepare. A family office decides faster than a sovereign fund, often through a single principal and a small team, but it will ask harder questions about governance, jurisdiction, minority protections and exit. A clear shareholder agreement, recognised legal jurisdiction, audited accounts and a visible route to liquidity are worth more than another year of projected growth.

What to do: offer a family office a structure that reduces its stated fears. That might mean co-investment alongside an institutional lead, a preferred instrument with defined protections, or a deal domiciled in the UK or another well-understood jurisdiction. Family offices respond to people they trust, so a warm introduction through an adviser, a bank or an existing investor is worth more than a polished deck sent cold.

Sequencing matters. Sovereign funds usually require an investment committee process with multiple stages, formal diligence and sign-off from several functions. Family offices usually decide through a principal and a trusted adviser. A CFO can use this difference: approach family offices early to establish anchor interest and credibility, then use that anchor to support the more formal process at a sovereign fund. The reverse order tends to be harder because a family office may not wish to follow a process it did not shape.

There is a further difference in how the two audiences treat information. Sovereign funds expect institutional-grade reporting and will compare a company against global peers. Family offices often value transparency about the people behind the business and about how conflicts are managed. Prepare both a formal data room and a short narrative on management, ownership and decision rights; the second often does more to build trust than the first.

Sector fit matters: infrastructure and real estate dominate, technology is rising

Khaleej Times, reporting Global SWF analysis, said about 40 per cent of Mena sovereign fund spending in the first nine months of 2025 went to real estate and infrastructure, 22 per cent to financials including funds, and 12 per cent to technology. Real assets and funds therefore take most of the money. A company that is neither can still attract capital, but it needs a sharper story about why it belongs in a sovereign portfolio.

Destination matters as well. Global SWF reports that 47% of all sovereign investment in 2025 went to the United States. Gulf funds are significant participants in US, European and Asian deals, and their international teams look for partners who understand those markets. For a UK or European company, the opportunity is often as a platform or co-investment partner in a deal that the fund is already considering, rather than as a standalone direct investment.

Exhibit 4

Family offices fear instability more than they chase emerging-market returns

Barriers to emerging-market investment cited by family offices, % of respondents

Geopolitical instability56%Political uncertainty and sovereignrisk55%Legal and regulatory uncertainty51%Currency and inflation48%
Source: UBS Global Family Office Report 2025, as reported by Economy Middle East

Technology is the area where Gulf appetite and Gulf capability overlap most. A fund that wants to build a domestic AI, healthcare, fintech or logistics ecosystem needs operators and technology, and will pay for them with capital, customers or both. That is why an operating partnership can be a better first step than a pure equity raise. It de-risks the relationship for both sides and lets the investor see the team in action.

The implication is to choose the capital route that matches the asset. Infrastructure-like, cash-yielding businesses suit sovereign balance sheets. Growth technology with a regional use case suits a strategic arm or co-investment alongside a lead. Early-stage or founder-led businesses suit family offices. A CFO who matches asset type to investor type will waste far less time.

There is also an operating dimension. Gulf funds increasingly act as long-term owners and partners rather than passive financial holders, which means they will ask about management depth, succession and the plan for the first two years after completion. A business that can show it has the team to execute a regional expansion, and not only a product to sell, gives the investor a reason to commit capital and a reason to introduce customers, which is often worth as much.

Co-investment is a recurring route. Gulf funds frequently invest alongside a lead sponsor, which spreads risk and gives them access to deal flow they might not originate themselves. A mid-sized company can therefore sometimes reach Gulf capital indirectly, through a private equity or venture sponsor that has the relationship. A CFO should ask existing and prospective sponsors which Gulf institutions they co-invest with, and treat that as a legitimate part of sponsor selection.

Geopolitics has not stopped the flow, but it has changed the risk conversation

Khaleej Times headlined its first-half 2026 report with the observation that Gulf sovereign funds had committed record sums despite jitters over the Iran war, and its nine-month report said Mena funds spent US$102 billion despite the US-Iran war. The capital kept moving, which is consistent with how sovereign investors think: long horizons, state backing and a mandate to diversify away from regional risk.

AGBI, however, noted UNCTAD's warning that the war is likely to weigh on regional investment performance, and the same Global SWF data show Gulf funds directing a large share of their capital outside the region. The 47% of sovereign investment that went to the United States in 2025 is a reminder that Gulf investors compare opportunities globally. A company that depends on regional stability for its value proposition should expect to be asked about it.

Exhibit 5

Four Gulf capital sources, four different ways to be considered

SourceWhat it optimises forWhat persuades itTypical route in
Sovereign wealth fundNational diversification and long-term returnsFit with a domestic ecosystem; scale; a credible co-investorStrategy or international team, often via a bank or adviser
Strategic arm or state-linked investorCapability transfer and sector leadershipTechnology, operators and a local build-outDirect partnership proposal with a named sponsor
Royal private officePreservation and selective opportunityTrusted introducer; governance; discretionPersonal introduction through a principal
Family officeCapital protection and controlJurisdiction, minority protections, a route to exitAdviser, co-investor or existing relationship
Source: Karter McKinley

For a CFO, geopolitics shows up in three ways. First, investors will probe supply chains, counterparties and sanctions exposure more closely. Second, they will ask how the business would continue if regional operations were disrupted. Third, they will be sensitive to the political optics of the deal, including the investor's own domestic narrative. Having clear answers to all three reduces friction and signals maturity.

What to do: prepare a short risk memorandum that addresses sanctions screening, contingency planning and jurisdictional exposure before the first investment committee. It need not be long. It does need to show that the company has thought about the scenarios the investor is already thinking about, and has a plan that does not require the investor to take political risk on the company's behalf.

A final point on resilience. The investors with the longest horizons are the least likely to be shaken by volatility, but they are also the most likely to notice when a counterparty is unprepared. A concise, honest account of how the business handled previous supply chain, regulatory or political disruption is more persuasive than reassurance. It tells the investor that management has experienced stress and has a record of responding in an orderly way.

Currency and legal structure deserve early attention. Where a transaction crosses jurisdictions, the choice of governing law, dispute forum and currency of account can matter as much as the headline valuation. Family offices in particular cite currency devaluation and legal uncertainty as concerns, so a structure that is denominated in a stable currency and governed by a familiar legal system removes two objections before they are raised.

A Gulf approach is a twelve-month relationship, not a roadshow

The pattern across these sources is of institutions that prefer partnerships to transactions. PIF's strategy speaks of strengthening strategic international partnerships to attract capital, and describes partners investing alongside it. Family offices, as UBS's findings suggest, prize trust and protection. Neither group is well served by a roadshow of a dozen meetings in a week. They respond to a clear proposition, a credible sponsor and patient follow-up.

We would structure the approach in five steps: define the strategic-fit case, map the target investors, secure an introduction, prepare the diligence materials and negotiate the structure. Each step has an owner and a decision point. The CFO's role is to own the numbers, the data room and the governance story, while the CEO and chair own the relationships. The timetable is typically measured in months, not weeks.

Exhibit 6

A five-step approach to Gulf capital

  1. 01

    Write the fit case

    State which national priority the business advances and what it will build locally.

  2. 02

    Map the investors

    Select five or six institutions whose stated strategy overlaps; discard the rest.

  3. 03

    Secure introductions

    Use advisers, banks or co-investors who already hold the relationship.

  4. 04

    Prepare the diligence

    Audited accounts, cap table, governance, sanctions and risk memorandum.

  5. 05

    Negotiate the structure

    Match instrument and jurisdiction to the investor's stated fears and horizon.

Source: Karter McKinley

Regulation applies. In the UK, promoting investments and arranging deals are regulated activities, and communications to Gulf investors must comply with the financial promotion regime. This is information, not legal advice. Karter McKinley supports the commercial and preparation work alongside FCA-authorised firms where regulated activity is involved, and companies should take their own legal advice on each jurisdiction.

What to do now: write the fit case, list five target institutions, and identify one credible introducer for each. Prepare a data room with audited accounts, a clear cap table, a governance summary and the risk memorandum. Then open conversations without asking for a cheque. Gulf investors tend to invest in companies they have watched for a while, and the CFO who starts early will be the one who is ready.

Finally, measure the process. Track the number of institutions contacted, introductions secured, meetings held and requests for information received, and review them monthly. The strongest signal is not a verbal expression of interest but a request for detailed diligence. If that request has not arrived after several meetings, revisit the fit case rather than increasing the volume of outreach.

Questions for the leadership team

  • Which national priority does our business advance, and can we state it in one sentence?
  • What would we build, hire or transfer locally if a Gulf partner invested?
  • Which five or six Gulf institutions have a stated strategy that overlaps ours?
  • Do we know whether each target is a sovereign fund, strategic arm, royal office or family office?
  • Who holds a trusted relationship that can introduce us to each target?
  • Does our data room answer governance, jurisdiction, exit and sanctions questions?
  • Have we taken regulatory advice on communicating with investors in each jurisdiction?
  • Can we sustain a relationship for twelve months without needing an immediate cheque?

How Karter McKinley helps

Karter McKinley supports CFOs preparing for Gulf capital under our Capital Raising service: building the strategic-fit case, mapping appropriate institutions, preparing the diligence materials and structuring the approach. Where an activity is regulated, we work alongside FCA-authorised firms and recommend that companies take their own legal advice. We make no promise of investment outcomes.

Preparing to raise capital? Let's talk.

Book a free 30-minute introduction call with our team. No obligation.

We use these details only to arrange your call. See our privacy notice.

Frequently asked questions

Start with strategic fit rather than returns. Identify the funds whose stated priorities overlap your business, explain what you would build or transfer locally, and secure an introduction through a bank, adviser or co-investor. PIF, for example, invested more than US$199 billion in new Saudi projects from 2021 to 2025, so local relevance carries weight.

Share

The briefing

Get our latest insights by email

Receive our latest research on strategy, capital, technology and international growth.

Perspectives

Explore more from our research library.

All Insights